警报分段
一个热带气镟形成警报一般分为三部份。第一部分
第一部份提供了该热带系统的初步定位资料以及估算的最高持续风速。第二部分
第二部份提供了该热带系统更详细的资料,比如接近的城市。此部份亦会提及联合颱风警报中心发出热带气镟生成警报的原因。结尾时一般会加上发展机率评级,即LOW、MEDIUM或HIGH。第三部分
第三部份会提及发布下一个警报的时间,该警报会更新资料。下一个警报可能是继续发出形成警报、取消警报信息(可能不再评定为有机会发展为热带气镟)或是对该热带系统的第一个正式报告(这情况下升格为热带低气压)。如果继续发出形成警报,通常都是因为该热带系统没有明显的发展;如果是取消信息,多数会提及的是发展为热带气镟的机会降低;如果是正式报告,则会提及一个热带气镟已经生成,并提及其未来的动向。警报例子
WTPN22 PGTW 031030MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 031021Z JUL 06//
RMKS
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.4N 110.2E TO 19.7N 109.2E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY
AT 030900Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 16.7N 110.1E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
07 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.3N
110.2E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 110.1E, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN, CHINA. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS
CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME MORE CONSOLIDATED AND THERE IS NOWNORTHERLY RETURN FLOW IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF SYSTEM. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND MODERATE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED
BY 041030Z.//
中文翻译:
WTPN22 PGTW 031030
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/热带气镟形成警报 031021Z JUL 06//
RMKS
1. 在未来12-24小时于16.4N 110.2E至19.7N 109.2E这100海里範围之内
是有机会形成一个热带气镟。根据目前数据,尚未达到发出热带气镟编号之时
。在这範围内风力估计有约20-25节每小时。在030900Z的METSAT图像显示
一个镟转中心大约位于16.7N 110.1E。这个系统以每小时7节的时速向西北
偏北移动。
2. 备注:上一次定位于16.3N 110.2E的对流现在现在定位于16.7N 110.1E
,大约即是向中国海南岛之南方130海里。近期的红外线图像显示对流已经继续
移动至系统之北方。上层之分析显示该处有垂直的风切变。最高持续风速目前估
算于20-25节之间。最低海气压估计是1003 MB。这个系统在未来24小时发展为
热带气镟的机率被评定为良好。
3. 这个警报将会于041030Z重新发布、提升至警告或取消。//

















